William Kempner
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Kempner has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.458 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 43rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (85th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
50 batters faced · data through 2026-08-24.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
William Kempner leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the four-seam fastball has come closest, with a 39% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 18 bases vs a replacement arm's 26 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.5 bases cost vs league average, across 96 pitches — 1.6 per 100.
Only his four-seam fastball is in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Rarely used: changeup (3%)
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Mix by batter side
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William Kempner's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball is in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.421 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.398 to 0.444, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.343 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.343) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.382 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.360 to 0.406, based on 17 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.471 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.439 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.471) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PhilliesJun 15, 2026
8 BF · 2 K, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs MetsMay 31, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs D-backsJun 10, 2026
8 BF · 3 K, 2 BB
- Bases allowed
- 2.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs MetsMay 30, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs RaysJun 5, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.1