His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 5% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
StarterCommand Artist
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Bellozo allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.493 bases per batter faced, better than 5% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting home runs (1st percentile).
His grade rests on 48 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
▸How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.
Arsenal
These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
Cutter
24%
86.1 mph · RHP median 90.1
—
Four-Seam Fastball
21%
90.4 mph · RHP median 95.1
—
Sweeper
21%
78.9 mph · RHP median 83.5
—
Changeup
18%
80.6 mph · RHP median 87.1
—
Sinker
11%
88.3 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
Curveball
5%
75.9 mph · RHP median 81.2
—
The charts below show 2025, because too few of his 2026 pitches were tracked to chart.
▸How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches.
Valente Bellozo's pitch movement, 2025
Pitch
Risein · vs Lg median
Breakin · vs Lg median
Vs. early season
CutterFC
Rise 8.9 in
+0.9 vs Lg median
Break −3.7 in
−1.8 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 16.3 in
+0.4 vs Lg median
Break 3.3 in
−4.4 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SweeperST
Rise 4.2 in
+3.4 vs Lg median
Break −13.9 in
−0.1 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
ChangeupCH
Rise 4.1 in
−0.5 vs Lg median
Break 15.5 in
+0.9 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
CurveballCU
Rise −10.0 in
+0.3 vs Lg median
Break −14.1 in
−5.4 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
Early season → nowLg medianNormal wobble around the dot
▸How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current break in inches, averaged over his latest outings. Higher is more rise and further right is more arm-side break, and neither is better or worse. The faint trail runs from his early-season outings to the dot, and the soft halo shows how far normal noise can move it. League median is the small hollow ring, and a pitch marked * has none because too few pitchers throw it. The “changed” verdict removes a league-wide drift that the trail still shows, so a long trail can read as steady. The by-appearance chart below has the exact dates. More on the About page
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. These charts show 2025, because too few of his 2026 pitches were tracked to chart.
Platoon splits
This section splits his results against lefties and righties.
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB16 PA0.528
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.528 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.505 to 0.551, based on 16 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.731 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
Lg median
His raw rate vs LHB (0.731) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB32 PA0.486
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.486 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.464 to 0.510, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.703 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
Lg median
His raw rate vs RHB (0.703) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
0.4210.4570.4930.5290.565
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
▸How to read this chart
Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Every ball hit off Valente Bellozo this season is drawn where it landed.
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.
Times through the order
These charts show what happens as hitters see him a second and third time.
Best games
These are his biggest outings this season.
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
