Tanner Gordon
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Gordon is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.485 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 9th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (99th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (9th percentile).
338 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Tanner Gordon.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Tanner Gordon | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .655 | .528 | 9th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 5% | 9% | 99th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 18th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Tanner Gordon mixes his four-seam fastball (43%) and slider (24%). His changeup has performed closest to league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 185 bases vs a replacement arm's 188 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
24.7 bases cost vs league average, across 1,155 pitches — 2.1 per 100.
His sinker isn't in the charts below — only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Tanner Gordon's pitch movement, 2026
His Curveball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker isn't in these charts — only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.505 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.486 to 0.524, based on 195 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.563 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.563) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.465 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.446 to 0.485, based on 143 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.523 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 9 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Tanner Gordon earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 256 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.75 · WHIP 1.49 · BABIP against 0.346 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PiratesMay 14, 2026
15 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.4
- Above replacement
- +5.0
- vs GiantsAug 15, 2026
15 BF · 4 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +4.0
- vs DodgersMay 25, 2026
21 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.6
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs PhilliesMay 9, 2026
13 BF · 3 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.6
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs CardinalsAug 9, 2026
13 BF · 2 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.1
- Above replacement
- +2.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Tanner Gordon
BB% down, Barrel% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.