Kyle Freeland
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Freeland is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.483 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 11th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (98th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (11th percentile).
554 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Kyle Freeland.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Kyle Freeland | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .603 | .528 | 11th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 98th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 11th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kyle Freeland mixes his four-seam fastball (24%) and cutter (22%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 0.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 281 bases vs a replacement arm's 308 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
33.7 bases cost vs league average, across 2,006 pitches — 1.7 per 100.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Kyle Freeland's pitch movement, 2026
4 of his 6 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.458 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.439 to 0.475, based on 154 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.420 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.420) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.499 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.483 to 0.515, based on 402 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.547 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.547) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 5 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 15 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 22 more bases than their contact off Kyle Freeland earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 416 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 6.37 · WHIP 1.46 · BABIP against 0.329 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RoyalsAug 2, 2026
34 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.9
- Above replacement
- +9.1
- vs PiratesJun 19, 2026
26 BF · 8 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.2
- Above replacement
- +7.3
- vs AstrosApr 7, 2026
24 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.3
- Above replacement
- +6.1
- vs MarlinsJul 1, 2026
21 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.8
- Above replacement
- +5.9
- vs AthleticsJun 13, 2026
27 BF · 4 K, 10 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 9.8
- Above replacement
- +5.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Kyle Freeland
HR allowed% up, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.