Cody Bolton
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Bolton is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.484 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 10th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (7th percentile).
95 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
How to read this chart
| Cody Bolton | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .685 | .527 | 10th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 7th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 47th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Cody Bolton mixes his four-seam fastball (29%) and cutter (24%). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the cutter has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 52 bases vs a replacement arm's 51 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.0 bases cost vs league average, across 260 pitches — 3.5 per 100.
His curveball, changeup, and sweeper aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Cody Bolton's pitch movement, 2026
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His curveball, changeup, and sweeper aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.052
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.512 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.490 to 0.533, based on 52 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.643 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.643) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.469 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.448 to 0.491, based on 43 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.495 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Cody Bolton.
over 58 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 5.40 · WHIP 1.75 · BABIP against 0.327 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RockiesApr 6, 2026score only
17 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +3.7
- vs Red SoxMar 31, 2026score only
13 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 4.8
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs OriolesApr 30, 2026score only
5 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- -0.2
- vs MarinersMay 14, 2026score only
15 BF · 2 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.2
- Above replacement
- -1.3
- vs MarinersApr 12, 2026score only
9 BF · 1 K, 4 BB, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- -1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cody Bolton
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.