Andrew Hoffmann
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Hoffmann is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.485 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 10th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (8th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
59 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Andrew Hoffmann leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the four-seam fastball has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 32 bases vs a replacement arm's 31 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
4.7 bases cost vs league average, across 183 pitches — 2.6 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 47 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Andrew Hoffmann's pitch movement, 2026
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 47 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.509 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.488 to 0.532, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.453 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.467 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.446 to 0.490, based on 27 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.736 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.736) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs TigersMar 31, 2026score only
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs MetsApr 8, 2026score only
9 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.6
- Above replacement
- +1.0
- vs BrewersApr 28, 2026score only
11 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 8 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.4
- Above replacement
- +0.3
- vs BravesApr 2, 2026score only
5 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +0.1
- vs OriolesApr 13, 2026score only
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 3.7
- Above replacement
- -1.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Andrew Hoffmann
HR allowed% up, BB% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.