Dedniel Núñez
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Núñez is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.432 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 83rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (99th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (3rd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
63 batters faced · data through 2026-09-18.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Dedniel Núñez leans on his four-seam fastball (54% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 53% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 34 bases vs a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.2 bases cost vs league average, across 182 pitches — 1.2 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Dedniel Núñez's pitch movement, 2026
All 2 of his pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.484 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.462 to 0.505, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.526 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.526) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.421 to 0.464, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.457 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Dedniel Núñez.
over 51 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.94 · WHIP 1.06 · BABIP against 0.277 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AstrosAug 28, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs White SoxAug 23, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs White SoxAug 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs RaysAug 31, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs RaysSep 2, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Dedniel Núñez
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.