Braxton Ashcraft
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Ashcraft is among the league's best at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.418 bases per batter faced, better than 91% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting walks (97th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting hard contact (18th percentile).
His grade rests on 667 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Braxton Ashcraft.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Braxton Ashcraft | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .512 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 97th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 81st |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Braxton Ashcraft mixes his four-seam fastball (31%) and curveball (26%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.0 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.2 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 268 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 391 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 28.5 bases against league average across 2,413 pitches, or 1.2 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
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Braxton Ashcraft's pitch movement, 2026
His Curveball and Splitter have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.045 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.037 to +0.053
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.448 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.432 to 0.463, based on 375 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.463 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.403 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.388 to 0.419, based on 293 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.337 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.337) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042).
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
4 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
8 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 7 more bases than their contact off Braxton Ashcraft deserved, so his results have been unlucky so far.
Both bars count 450 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.65 · WHIP 1.09 · BABIP against 0.285 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesApr 5, 2026score only
21 BF · 8 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.2
- Above replacement
- +9.1
- vs MarlinsAug 13, 2026
28 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 7.4
- Above replacement
- +9.0
- vs RedsMay 3, 2026score only
27 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.7
- Above replacement
- +8.2
- vs MarinersJun 24, 2026
23 BF · 10 K, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.3
- Above replacement
- +7.2
- vs AthleticsJun 17, 2026
25 BF · 7 K, 3 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.6
- Above replacement
- +7.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Braxton Ashcraft
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is down, his Barrel% against is up and his FB% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.