Jacob deGrom
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
deGrom is among the league's best at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.417 bases per batter faced, better than 91% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is getting strikeouts (97th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting hard contact (3rd percentile).
His grade rests on 668 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Jacob deGrom.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
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| Jacob deGrom | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .553 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 87th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 28% | 22% | 97th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Jacob deGrom mixes his four-seam fastball (42%) and slider (34%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.6 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.2 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 279 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 392 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 23.4 bases against league average across 2,735 pitches, or 0.9 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob deGrom's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape, but his other 4 have not.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.449, based on 404 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.430 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.393 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.377 to 0.408, based on 267 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.396 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
5 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
12 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 5 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob deGrom deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 418 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 4.20 · WHIP 1.14 · BABIP against 0.299 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs CubsMay 10, 2026score only
24 BF · 10 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.2
- Above replacement
- +9.9
- vs MarinersSep 10, 2026
19 BF · 12 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +9.7
- vs AthleticsAug 31, 2026
21 BF · 8 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.8
- Above replacement
- +9.5
- vs NationalsAug 20, 2026
20 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.7
- Above replacement
- +8.0
- vs Red SoxJun 13, 2026score only
23 BF · 5 K, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.9
- Above replacement
- +7.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob deGrom
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his Barrel% against is down and his FB% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.