Jacob deGrom
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
deGrom is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.422 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 86th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (97th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (2nd percentile).
518 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jacob deGrom.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jacob deGrom | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .575 | .528 | 86th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 91st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 28% | 22% | 97th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jacob deGrom mixes his four-seam fastball (42%) and slider (37%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.2 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 223 bases vs a replacement arm's 288 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
16.4 bases saved vs league average, across 2,073 pitches — 0.8 per 100.
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob deGrom's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 3 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.433 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.416 to 0.449, based on 307 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.433 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.394 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.378 to 0.411, based on 214 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.412 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 4 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob deGrom earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 329 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.77 · WHIP 1.13 · BABIP against 0.301 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CubsMay 10, 2026
24 BF · 10 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.2
- Above replacement
- +9.1
- vs NationalsAug 20, 2026
20 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.7
- Above replacement
- +7.4
- vs Red SoxJun 13, 2026
23 BF · 5 K, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.9
- Above replacement
- +6.9
- vs MarlinsJun 24, 2026
23 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.2
- Above replacement
- +5.6
- vs GuardiansJun 7, 2026
23 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.3
- Above replacement
- +5.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob deGrom
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.