Cole Henry
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Henry allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.484 bases per batter faced, better than 10% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting home runs (7th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 70 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Cole Henry leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the sweeper has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 37 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 37 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 6.8 bases against league average across 234 pitches, or 2.9 per 100 pitches.
His sinker and cutter aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.
He rarely throws his curveball (0% of his pitches).
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Mix by batter side
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Cole Henry's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His sinker and cutter aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.043 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.489 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.467 to 0.511, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.740 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.740) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.446 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.423 to 0.467, based on 40 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.451 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
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Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs D-backsJun 5, 2026score only
10 BF · 1 K, 2 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 3.0
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs DodgersApr 4, 2026score only
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs CardinalsApr 8, 2026score only
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 2.0
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs CubsMar 28, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs PhilliesMar 30, 2026score only
5 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cole Henry
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up and his BB% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.