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Cole Henry

2026
Nationals· RHP · throws R· 13.2 IP· 7.90 ERA· 1.76 WHIP· 70 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 10% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
RelieverStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Henry allows more bases than most pitchers

The simulator expects him to allow 0.484 bases per batter faced, better than 10% of qualified pitchers. His weakest skill is limiting home runs (7th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.

His grade rests on 70 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together. He has not reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Cole Henry leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet, and the sweeper has come closest.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

−0 bases worse than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 37 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 37 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 6.8 bases against league average across 234 pitches, or 2.9 per 100 pitches.

Four-Seam Fastball
48%
93.8 mph · RHP median 95.1
23% whiffs · Lg median 21%
cost 4.4 per 1006.0 total
Sweeper
35%
82.2 mph · RHP median 83.5
29% whiffs · Lg median 31%
cost 0.8 per 1000.8 total
Sinker
not charted
10%
94.2 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
—
Cutter
not charted
7%
90.7 mph · RHP median 90.1
—
—

His sinker and cutter aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.

He rarely throws his curveball (0% of his pitches).

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
54% vs LHH · RHP median 40%
43% vs RHH · RHP median 33%
Sweeper
32% vs LHH · RHP median 17%
36% vs RHH · RHP median 29%
How to read this chart
Each row shows how often he throws a pitch to left-handed hitters (LHH) and right-handed hitters (RHH), next to the median for pitchers of his hand (RHP median). Medians come from right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time. Between 131 and 384 of them qualify, depending on the pitch. A mix is a plan, so a higher or lower share is neither better nor worse. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Cole Henry's pitch movement, 2026

His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.

The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.

Cole Henry's pitch movement, 2026-12012012in← glove sidearm side →more risemore drop
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 12.5 in
−3.2 vs Lg median
Break 13.2 in
+5.5 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SweeperST
Rise 1.6 in
+0.5 vs Lg median
Break −13.1 in
+0.7 vs Lg median
Vs. early season changed
Early season → nowLg medianNormal wobble around the dot
How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current break in inches, averaged over his latest outings. Higher is more rise and further right is more arm-side break, and neither is better or worse. The faint trail runs from his early-season outings to the dot, and the soft halo shows how far normal noise can move it. League median is the small hollow ring, and a pitch marked * has none because too few pitchers throw it. The “changed” verdict removes a league-wide drift that the trail still shows, so a long trail can read as steady. The by-appearance chart below has the exact dates. More on the About page

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His sinker and cutter aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.043 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.051

vs LHB31 PA0.489

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.489 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.467 to 0.511, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.740 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs LHB (0.740) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

vs RHB40 PA0.446

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.446 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.423 to 0.467, based on 40 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.451 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

0.4120.4390.4670.4940.522
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Cole Henry this season is drawn where it landed.
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Cole Henry

Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up and his BB% is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.