← All games
Mar 30, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Nationals 48% · tied 13% · Phillies 40%
Nationals edged it
A near coin-flip on paper — Nationals came out ahead of Phillies 13–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.