Zac Gallen
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Gallen is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.495 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 4th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (79th percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (3rd percentile).
440 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Zac Gallen.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Zac Gallen | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .568 | .528 | 4th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 79th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 16% | 22% | 3rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Zac Gallen mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and slider (22%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 2.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 227 bases vs a replacement arm's 245 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
31.4 bases cost vs league average, across 1,636 pitches — 1.9 per 100.
Rarely used: fastball (0%)
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 16 points more toward righties.
How to read this chart
Zac Gallen's pitch movement, 2026
His Knuckle Curve and Sinker have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.502 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.483 to 0.519, based on 234 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.550 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.550) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.462 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.443 to 0.479, based on 206 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.488 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 12 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Zac Gallen.
over 342 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 6.34 · WHIP 1.56 · BABIP against 0.320 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Blue JaysApr 18, 2026
25 BF · 3 K, 9 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +6.4
- vs MetsApr 7, 2026
23 BF · 5 K, 4 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.5
- Above replacement
- +4.3
- vs MarlinsJun 9, 2026
26 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 9 H
- Bases allowed
- 11.3
- Above replacement
- +3.2
- vs RedsJun 14, 2026
25 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 6 H, 2 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 10.9
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs PadresApr 25, 2026
10 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.1
- Above replacement
- +3.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Zac Gallen
BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.