MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Reds, 06/14/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 14, 2026
D-backs
5
Final
Game 824506
Reds
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
78%
· tied 11%
·
Reds
11%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Reds 5–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.