MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Blue Jays @ D-backs, 04/18/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 18, 2026
Blue Jays
2
Final
Game 825098
D-backs
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
18%
· tied 16%
·
D-backs
66%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.