Peter Lambert

2026

Astros· RHP · throws R· 80.0 IP· 3.26 ERA· 1.15 WHIP· 331 BF

Grade

B65th percentile run prevention

StarterPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

Lambert sits right around league average

The simulator expects 0.438 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 65th percentile of qualified pitchers.

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 396 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
331 batters faced · data through 2026-07-09.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Ryan ZeferjahnAngels

Chase DollanderRockies

Logan GilbertMariners

MacKenzie GoreRangers

What drives it

Every plate appearance ends one of three ways: a strikeout (0 bases), a walk (1 base), or a ball in play worth its estimated bases.
The bar splits his runs prevented into those pieces, versus the league.
Fewer bases allowed is better. In the table, 100th percentile = best in MLB.

Ball-in-play basesWalk bases

Bases per batter faced

.321

.100

Peter Lambert

.368

.088

League average

	Peter Lambert	League	Percentile
Bases per ball in play(fewer = better)	.483	.536	65th
Walk rate(fewer = better)	10%	9%	35th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)	23%	23%	39th

Contact allowed

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Peter Lambert landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Hover a dot or a row to link the two; click to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Brent RookerHome run

EV 105 mph · LA 30° · EB 4.0

06/05 vs Athletics

vs Julio RodríguezHome run

EV 107 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.9

05/11 vs Mariners

vs Josh BellHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.7

06/29 vs Twins

vs Royce LewisHome run

EV 97 mph · LA 32° · EB 3.6

06/29 vs Twins

vs Jake BurgerHome run

EV 102 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.5

05/17 vs Rangers

Luck check

Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.

vs Freddie FreemanOutRobbed

EV 104 mph · LA 29° · EB 1.9

05/05 vs Dodgers

Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Logan O'HoppeSingleCheap hit

EV 78 mph · LA 58° · EB 0.1 · xBA .050

06/10 vs Angels

Contact & results against

2026 · 220 balls in play

What kind of contact he gives up, and what it turns into.
Top bar: the contact he allows (grounders, liners, fly balls, pop-ups). The thin bar below is league average.
Below, the rates hitters put up against him — each dot is his mark, the dashed line league median, the teal tick league’s best. Further right is better.
Hover or tab any bar or dot for exact values. Starred rows (*) are approximate.

Ground ballsLine drivesFly ballsPop-ups

GB 43%

LD 16%

FB 28%

PU 13%

League average

BABIP against

.238

lg .287best .129

AVG against*

.204

lg .238best .103

OBP against*

.293

lg .317best .153

SLG against*

.340

lg .386best .133

OPS against*

.633

lg .706best .337

WHIP

1.15

lg 1.30best 0.62

ERA

3.26

lg 3.92best 0.56

* Approximate: sacrifice flies and bunts aren't distinguishable in our data, so every ball in play counts as an at-bat. Slightly off official figures.

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	EB	Above replacement
Jul 5, 2026	Rays	3.8	+7.1
Apr 22, 2026	Guardians	3.7	+6.9
Jun 17, 2026	Tigers	7.7	+4.9
May 11, 2026	Mariners	9.8	+4.5
Jun 10, 2026	Angels	9.3	+4.3

Times through order

Times through the order

career 2023–2026

“Times through the order” = how many times a hitter has faced Peter Lambert in the same game (1st, 2nd, or 3rd-plus time up).
Pitchers often fade the third time through, as hitters get more looks at their stuff.
Career splits: K% (higher is better), BB% (lower), and EB/PA — contact allowed per plate appearance (lower).
Whiskers show the uncertainty range. The 3rd-plus bucket has the fewest plate appearances, so its wider whiskers are expected.
The dashed line is the league average per bucket, so you can see if his drop-off is steeper or flatter than typical.

Strikeout rate (K%) (higher is better)

Walk rate (BB%) (lower is better)

EB / PA (lower is better)

The third time through, Peter Lambert allows 0.046 less estimated bases per plate appearance than the first time (0.376 → 0.330) and his strikeout rate rises from 18.5% to 23.6%.

Pooled over 67 games · 988 batters faced · 2023–2026