Cole Sands
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Sands is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.469 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 28th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (8th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
56 batters faced · data through 2026-09-08.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Cole Sands mixes his four-seam fastball (40%) and cutter (23%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 28 bases vs a replacement arm's 29 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.5 bases saved vs league average, across 83 pitches — 1.8 per 100.
Only his four-seam fastball is in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
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Mix by batter side
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Cole Sands's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball is in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.481 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.458 to 0.503, based on 22 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.729 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.729) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.414 to 0.459, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.367 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.367) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MetsApr 21, 2026score only
6 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs RaysApr 5, 2026score only
6 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs Red SoxApr 14, 2026score only
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs OriolesMar 28, 2026score only
4 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +1.0
- vs RedsApr 18, 2026score only
5 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cole Sands
HR allowed% up, BB% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.