Skip to main content
← All games

Rays at Twins · Apr 5, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Rays 90% · tied 7% · Twins 4%

Rays earned it

Rays deserved to win and did, beating Twins 4-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.