Tim Mayza
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Mayza is comfortably above average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.435 bases per batter faced, better than 78% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting walks (80th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting hard contact (6th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 271 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Tim Mayza.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Tim Mayza | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .517 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 80th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 56th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Tim Mayza leans on his sinker (56% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.8 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 117 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 141 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 8.3 bases against league average across 1,067 pitches, or 0.8 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his splitter (2% of his pitches).
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Tim Mayza's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches has clearly moved from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.421 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.402 to 0.441, based on 115 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.397 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.459 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.441 to 0.479, based on 156 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.452 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
4 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
How to read this chart
Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Tim Mayza deserved.
Both bars count 188 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
How to read this chart
ERA 3.48 · WHIP 1.13 · BABIP against 0.282 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs MarlinsJun 17, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +3.3
- vs BravesSep 12, 2026
9 BF · 4 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs NationalsMar 30, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs DodgersMay 29, 2026score only
7 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs YankeesJul 25, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Tim Mayza
Compared with last season, his K% is up, his FB% against is up and his Pull% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.