Bryan Baker
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Baker is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.426 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 84th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (87th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
194 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Bryan Baker.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Bryan Baker | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .509 | .528 | 84th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 57th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 87th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Bryan Baker leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 2.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 81 bases vs a replacement arm's 100 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
14.1 bases saved vs league average, across 764 pitches — 1.8 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 26 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Bryan Baker's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 26 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.421 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.400 to 0.442, based on 103 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.363 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.383 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.363 to 0.404, based on 91 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.431 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 4 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 15 fewer bases than their contact off Bryan Baker earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 126 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.44 · WHIP 0.88 · BABIP against 0.205 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesAug 17, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs YankeesJul 8, 2026
4 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RockiesAug 4, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs NationalsJun 19, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs TwinsApr 5, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Bryan Baker
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.