Kyle Hart
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Hart is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.428 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 81st percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (98th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
215 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Kyle Hart.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Kyle Hart | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .419 | .528 | 81st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 59th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 53rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kyle Hart mixes his sinker (29%) and sweeper (26%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 79 bases vs a replacement arm's 110 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
17.2 bases saved vs league average, across 856 pitches — 2.0 per 100.
Rarely used: curveball (0%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 22 points more toward righties.
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Kyle Hart's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.404 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.384 to 0.425, based on 99 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.375 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.443 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.424 to 0.464, based on 116 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.372 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.372) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039).
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 9 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 9 more bases than their contact off Kyle Hart earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 144 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.13 · WHIP 1.13 · BABIP against 0.271 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsAug 2, 2026
10 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +4.2
- vs RockiesJul 29, 2026
11 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs MetsAug 17, 2026
8 BF · 3 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs TigersMar 28, 2026
6 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs RockiesApr 22, 2026
9 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +2.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Kyle Hart
HR allowed% down, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.