Brandon Woodruff
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Woodruff is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.422 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 86th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (88th percentile).
174 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Brandon Woodruff.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Brandon Woodruff | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .503 | .528 | 86th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 88th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 22% | 86th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Brandon Woodruff mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and changeup (21%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 3.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 38% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 70 bases vs a replacement arm's 97 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
8.0 bases saved vs league average, across 605 pitches — 1.3 per 100.
His curveball isn't in the charts below — only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sweeper (1%)
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Mix by batter side
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Brandon Woodruff's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His curveball isn't in these charts — only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.457 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.478, based on 92 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.402 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.418 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.395 to 0.437, based on 83 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.390 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040).
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 9 fewer bases than their contact off Brandon Woodruff earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 116 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.98 · WHIP 0.84 · BABIP against 0.207 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsJun 22, 2026
19 BF · 10 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.0
- Above replacement
- +7.5
- vs MarlinsApr 18, 2026
25 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +5.8
- vs CubsJun 28, 2026
20 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.6
- Above replacement
- +5.5
- vs Red SoxApr 6, 2026
27 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 8 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 12.4
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs PiratesApr 24, 2026
21 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 10.2
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Brandon Woodruff
HR allowed% down, K% down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.