Brandon Woodruff
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Woodruff is comfortably above average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.424 bases per batter faced, better than 88% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting walks (88th percentile).
His grade rests on 174 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Brandon Woodruff.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, limits hard contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Brandon Woodruff | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .503 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 88th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 22% | 85th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Brandon Woodruff mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and changeup (21%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 3.2 bases per 100 thrown against league average, with a 38% whiff rate against a league median of 30%.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 70 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 102 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 8.0 bases against league average across 605 pitches, or 1.3 per 100 pitches.
His curveball isn't in the charts below, because only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
He rarely throws his sweeper (1% of his pitches).
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Brandon Woodruff's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His curveball isn't in these charts, because only 28 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.432 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.412 to 0.452, based on 92 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.402 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.390 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.370 to 0.411, based on 83 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.390 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
How to read this chart
Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 9 fewer bases than their contact off Brandon Woodruff deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 116 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
How to read this chart
ERA 2.98 · WHIP 0.84 · BABIP against 0.207 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs RedsJun 22, 2026
19 BF · 10 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.0
- Above replacement
- +8.1
- vs MarlinsApr 18, 2026score only
25 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +6.5
- vs CubsJun 28, 2026
20 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.6
- Above replacement
- +6.1
- vs Red SoxApr 6, 2026score only
27 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 8 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 12.4
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs PiratesApr 24, 2026score only
21 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 10.2
- Above replacement
- +2.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Brandon Woodruff
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his K% is down, his FB% against is up and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.