MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Brewers @ Marlins, 04/18/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 18, 2026
Brewers
5
Final
Game 823882
Marlins
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
83%
· tied 8%
·
Marlins
10%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 5–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.