Michael Fulmer
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Fulmer has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.463 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 33rd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (73rd percentile). The soft spot is Command (15th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
61 batters faced · data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Michael Fulmer mixes his cutter (41%) and sweeper (22%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 5.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 27 bases vs a replacement arm's 32 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.0 bases cost vs league average, across 165 pitches — 0.6 per 100.
Only his cutter and sweeper are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
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Mix by batter side
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Michael Fulmer's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his cutter and sweeper are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.416 to 0.459, based on 27 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.547 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.547) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.396 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.373 to 0.416, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.410 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AngelsAug 31, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs RaysSep 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs TwinsSep 14, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs RockiesSep 10, 2026
2 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.0
- vs D-backsSep 18, 2026
2 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Michael Fulmer
HR allowed% up, BB% up vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.