Cristian Javier
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Javier is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.482 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 14th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (15th percentile).
185 batters faced · data through 2026-08-25.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Cristian Javier.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Cristian Javier | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .609 | .527 | 14th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 33rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 42nd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Cristian Javier leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the changeup has come closest.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 96 bases vs a replacement arm's 106 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
15.5 bases cost vs league average, across 690 pitches — 2.2 per 100.
His cutter isn't in the charts below — only 27 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: knuckle curve, sinker (4%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 20 points more toward righties.
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Cristian Javier's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His cutter isn't in these charts — only 27 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.509 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.488 to 0.529, based on 80 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.425 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.425) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.472 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.451 to 0.492, based on 105 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.608 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.608) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Cristian Javier.
over 126 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 6.47 · WHIP 1.66 · BABIP against 0.339 (Lg median 0.287)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AngelsAug 18, 2026
18 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 5.5
- Above replacement
- +4.7
- vs AngelsJul 27, 2026
18 BF · 7 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +4.1
- vs Blue JaysAug 3, 2026
24 BF · 2 K, 7 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 11.5
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs RangersJul 12, 2026
16 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.9
- Above replacement
- +1.2
- vs AthleticsAug 23, 2026
18 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 9.4
- Above replacement
- +0.9
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cristian Javier
HR allowed% up, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.