Joe Mantiply
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Mantiply sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.449 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 58th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (86th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
93 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Joe Mantiply | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .506 | .527 | 58th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 86th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 37th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Joe Mantiply leans on his sinker (46% of pitches). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 2.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 42 bases vs a replacement arm's 48 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.0 bases saved vs league average, across 334 pitches — 0.3 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Joe Mantiply's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.428 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.408 to 0.450, based on 47 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.412 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.466 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.445 to 0.487, based on 47 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.463 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Joe Mantiply earned — his results have run lucky so far.
over 70 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.28 · WHIP 1.06 · BABIP against 0.265 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxApr 5, 2026score only
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs AthleticsSep 9, 2026
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs AngelsApr 22, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs RaysMay 11, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs TwinsApr 10, 2026score only
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Joe Mantiply
HR allowed% down, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.