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Carson Williams

2026
Rays· SS · bats R · throws R· 40 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 7% of hitters at creating bases

He's running below his established level this season — there's room to rebound.

Still Searching

Below league average across the board.

Strikeouts are holding this bat back

Nothing stands out yet — even Carson Williams's best mark (walk rate) beats only 30% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up — only 7% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 40 plate appearances so far.

40 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

José CaballeroYankeesSam HaggertyRangersBraxton FulfordRockiesAlex FreelandDodgers

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Weak contact quality; strikes out far more than most.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Carson WilliamsLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).366.5087th
Walk rate(higher = better)5%8%30th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)33%23%7th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs LHP than vs RHP by 0.030 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.009 to +0.049

vs LHP17 PA0.396

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.396 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.366 to 0.423, based on 17 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.177 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHP rate (0.177) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHP23 PA0.366

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.366 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.338 to 0.392, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.354 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

0.3270.3570.3870.4170.447
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty bat (median 0.034). He sits below the league median against both hands.

He sits in the league's middle half vs lefties and the league's bottom quarter vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, and that's where his hardest contact goes.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Carson Williams put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Yunior TurHome run
EV 105 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.4
08/11 vs Athletics
vs Matt SvansonSingle
EV 83 mph · LA 8° · EB 0.8
03/26 vs Cardinals
vs Ryne StanekSingle
EV 104 mph · LA 9° · EB 0.7
03/28 vs Cardinals
vs Brandon WoodruffOut
EV 93 mph · LA 10° · EB 0.6
03/31 vs Brewers
vs Dustin MayDouble
EV 92 mph · LA -2° · EB 0.5
03/29 vs Cardinals
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 77 swings
73.4 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)
Lg median

Swings faster than most hitters. His swing is longer than most hitters', with a steeper attack angle than most. Cuts his swing down about as much as most hitters with two strikes. His bat travels on a fairly typical path.

Attack angle
14.5°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
33.3°
Lg median 31.6°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Carson Williams

HR% down, BB% down, K% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.