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Bryce Johnson

2026
Padres· RF · bats S · throws R· 49 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 6% of hitters at creating bases

He's running below his established level this season — there's room to rebound.

Still Searching

Below league average across the board.

Soft contact is the story so far

Nothing stands out yet — even Bryce Johnson's best mark (walk rate) beats only 34% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft — only 1% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority. Early-season read — only 49 plate appearances so far.

49 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Oswald PerazaAngelsCarson WilliamsRaysJosé CaballeroYankeesSam HaggertyRangers

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Weak contact quality; strikes out far more than most.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Bryce JohnsonLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).309.5086th
Walk rate(higher = better)6%8%34th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)37%23%17th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs RHP than vs LHP by 0.016 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: -0.005 to +0.038

That interval crosses zero, so the model can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.

vs LHP13 PA0.359

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.359 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.329 to 0.387, based on 13 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.136 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHP rate (0.136) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHP36 PA0.375

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.375 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.349 to 0.401, based on 36 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.274 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHP rate (0.274) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3160.3490.3820.4150.448
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a switch hitter (median 0.015). He sits below the league median against both hands.

He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs both lefties and righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Bryce Johnson switch-hits — he can choose the platoon-advantaged side almost every plate appearance, so a small gap here is expected. It is not missing data or a modeling error.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the pull side.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Bryce Johnson put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Adrian HouserDouble
EV 96 mph · LA 21° · EB 2.0
04/01 vs Giants
vs Zack WheelerSingle
EV 67 mph · LA 28° · EB 0.9
06/04 vs Phillies
vs Shohei OhtaniSingle
EV 70 mph · LA 32° · EB 0.9
05/20 vs Dodgers
vs Orion KerkeringSingle
EV 63 mph · LA 33° · EB 0.7
06/04 vs Phillies
vs Nick SandlinSingle
EV 73 mph · LA 27° · EB 0.5
04/18 vs Angels
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Performance by pitch type

2026 · 188 pitches

Bases he adds per 100 pitches of each type, against the league.

← below leagueabove league →
Four-Seam Fastball (71 pitches)
−5.9
Lg median −0.4Lg best +12.9
Other (117 pitches)

−5.4 bases per 100 · no single-type league comparison

Above league medianBelowMiddle half of the leagueLg medianLg best
How to read this chart
Bases added per 100 pitches of each type — the same scale as the pitcher pages’ “saved/cost per 100”, from the hitter’s side. Every pitch counts: taking a ball adds value, whiffing loses it, and the pitch that ends the plate appearance scores its outcome against the count’s expectation. Values are bases vs the league count-average: +3.5 means his results against that pitch have been worth about 3.5 extra bases per 100 seen. Types with fewer than 50 pitches seen pool into “Other”.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 79 swings
66.7 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)

Batting left

Lg median

Swings slower than most hitters. His swing length and attack angle both sit in the league's middle range. Cuts his swing down about as much as most hitters with two strikes. From both sides, his bat travels on a steeper path than most.

Attack angle
10.2°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
38.9°
Lg median 32.4°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Bryce Johnson

HR% down, BB% up, K% up vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.