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Apr 28, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Rays 45% · tied 23% · Guardians 33%
Rays edged it
A near coin-flip on paper — Rays came out ahead of Guardians 1–0.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.