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Apr 27, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Red Sox 94% · tied 5% · Blue Jays 2%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 5–0.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.