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Red Sox at Blue Jays · Apr 28, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Red Sox 12% · tied 18% · Blue Jays 70%

Blue Jays earned it

Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Red Sox 3-0.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.