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Red Sox at Blue Jays · Apr 29, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Red Sox 29% · tied 13% · Blue Jays 58%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Red Sox 8-1.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.