Skip to main content
← All games

Marlins at Blue Jays · May 27, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Marlins 68% · tied 13% · Blue Jays 19%

Blue Jays stole one

Marlins did more to deserve the win, but Blue Jays took it 2-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.