Logan Henderson
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Henderson is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.412 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 92nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (94th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (23rd percentile).
264 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Logan Henderson.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Logan Henderson | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .528 | .527 | 92nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 94th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 91st |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Logan Henderson leans on his four-seam fastball (46% of pitches). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 3.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 106 bases vs a replacement arm's 147 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
15.7 bases saved vs league average, across 1,009 pitches — 1.6 per 100.
Rarely used: slider, sweeper (3%)
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Mix by batter side
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Logan Henderson's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.416 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.397 to 0.436, based on 178 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.433 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.376 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.355 to 0.395, based on 87 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.317 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.317) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Logan Henderson.
over 170 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.60 · WHIP 0.89 · BABIP against 0.237 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsMay 3, 2026
21 BF · 8 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +7.3
- vs GiantsJul 28, 2026
21 BF · 7 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.6
- Above replacement
- +7.0
- vs DodgersMay 22, 2026
19 BF · 7 K, 3 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +4.4
- vs PadresAug 10, 2026
24 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 2 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.9
- Above replacement
- +4.4
- vs DodgersAug 16, 2026
24 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 9.5
- Above replacement
- +3.9
Trends
Multi-season trends · Logan Henderson
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.