Gordon Graceffo
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Graceffo has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.462 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 36th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (78th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
253 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Gordon Graceffo.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Gordon Graceffo | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .409 | .528 | 36th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 20th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 17% | 22% | 6th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Gordon Graceffo mixes his four-seam fastball (39%) and slider (30%). His best pitch has been the changeup, saving 3.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 104 bases vs a replacement arm's 130 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
8.8 bases saved vs league average, across 937 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Gordon Graceffo's pitch movement, 2026
3 of his 5 pitches have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.477 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.457 to 0.497, based on 111 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.465 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.437 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.417 to 0.457, based on 142 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.389 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.389) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 7 fewer bases than their contact off Gordon Graceffo earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 183 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 3.13 · WHIP 1.12 · BABIP against 0.202 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BrewersJul 9, 2026
7 BF · 4 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs PadresMay 8, 2026
6 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs YankeesAug 3, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs MarinersApr 24, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs PiratesMay 19, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Gordon Graceffo
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.