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One moment while the latest numbers come in.
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
The simulator expects 0.483 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 27th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (91st percentile). The soft spot is Command (1st percentile).
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Joe Rock leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 0.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 21 bases vs a replacement arm's 32 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.401 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.378 to 0.425, based on 30 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.517 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.517) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.417 to 0.463, based on 23 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.393 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
16 BF · 3 K, 5 BB, 1 H, 2 HBP
10 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 1 H
13 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 4 H
14 BF · 1 K, 2 BB, 5 H
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
