Joe Rock
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Rock allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.489 bases per batter faced, better than 6% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (95th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (3rd percentile).
His grade rests on 56 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Joe Rock leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His slider has performed closest to league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 20 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 2.5 bases against league average across 183 pitches, or 1.4 per 100 pitches.
His sinker and changeup aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His sinker and changeup aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.037 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.505 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.481 to 0.528, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.533 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.543 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.520 to 0.565, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.418 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.418) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
One hit off him had less than a 20% chance of being a hit.
How to read this chart
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs DodgersJun 13, 2026score only
16 BF · 3 K, 5 BB, 1 H, 2 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs GuardiansJun 24, 2026
10 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.4
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs YankeesJun 16, 2026
13 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.2
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs RaysSep 17, 2026
3 BF · 0 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- -1.0
- vs TigersJun 20, 2026
14 BF · 1 K, 2 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.5
- Above replacement
- -1.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Joe Rock
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up and his K% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.