Ryan Johnson
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Johnson allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.474 bases per batter faced, better than 19% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (82nd percentile). His weakest skill is limiting home runs (16th percentile).
His grade rests on 437 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Ryan Johnson.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
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| Ryan Johnson | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .526 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 37th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 18th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Ryan Johnson mixes his cutter (39%) and sweeper (24%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 1.7 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 206 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 256 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He cost 13.1 bases against league average across 1,721 pitches, or 0.8 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
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Ryan Johnson's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper and Sinker have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.486 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.469 to 0.504, based on 273 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.491 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.444 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.428 to 0.463, based on 165 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.470 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
4 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
10 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Ryan Johnson deserved.
Both bars count 309 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 5.04 · WHIP 1.39 · BABIP against 0.268 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesJun 23, 2026
19 BF · 8 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +8.4
- vs PiratesSep 4, 2026
23 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.1
- Above replacement
- +6.4
- vs TwinsSep 20, 2026
22 BF · 6 K, 7 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.4
- Above replacement
- +5.5
- vs MarinersSep 15, 2026
25 BF · 7 K, 6 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 10.2
- Above replacement
- +4.4
- vs TigersJul 19, 2026
20 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 2 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +4.3
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ryan Johnson
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is up, his GB% against is down, his FB% against is up and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.