Jacob Misiorowski
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Misiorowski is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.364 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 99th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (99th percentile).
550 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jacob Misiorowski.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jacob Misiorowski | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .469 | .528 | 99th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 92nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 34% | 22% | 99th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jacob Misiorowski leans on his four-seam fastball (64% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 4.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 5.5 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 171 bases vs a replacement arm's 306 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
69.8 bases saved vs league average, across 2,150 pitches — 3.2 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (1%)
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Mix by batter side
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Jacob Misiorowski's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 3 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.379 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.362 to 0.397, based on 311 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.305 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.305) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.342 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.325 to 0.360, based on 240 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.348 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 12 fewer bases than their contact off Jacob Misiorowski earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 291 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.68 · WHIP 0.76 · BABIP against 0.230 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs PhilliesJun 12, 2026
27 BF · 15 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.3
- Above replacement
- +12.7
- vs PadresMay 13, 2026
25 BF · 10 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.7
- Above replacement
- +9.2
- vs CardinalsMay 25, 2026
24 BF · 12 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.8
- Above replacement
- +8.5
- vs CubsMay 19, 2026
22 BF · 8 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.7
- Above replacement
- +8.5
- vs BravesJun 19, 2026
24 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +8.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jacob Misiorowski
xEB/PA down, HR allowed% down, BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.