Josh Ekness
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Ekness is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.484 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 10th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (3rd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
104 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Josh Ekness.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell (29.8%)
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| Josh Ekness | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .452 | .527 | 10th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 3rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 15th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Josh Ekness leans on his four-seam fastball (51% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 0.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.6 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 45 bases vs a replacement arm's 54 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.8 bases cost vs league average, across 337 pitches — 1.1 per 100.
His sinker and curveball aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Josh Ekness's pitch movement, 2026
His Sweeper has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker and curveball aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.035 to +0.052
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.497 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.474 to 0.518, based on 53 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.572 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.572) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.453 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.432 to 0.476, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.378 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.378) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Josh Ekness.
over 70 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.37 · WHIP 1.59 · BABIP against 0.265 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsAug 29, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs PhilliesAug 18, 2026
6 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs OriolesMay 5, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs NationalsAug 22, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs RedsAug 16, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.2