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Hurston Waldrep

2026
Braves· RHP · throws R· 10.2 IP· 8.44 ERA· 2.16 WHIP· 56 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 4% of pitchers at limiting bases
StarterStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Waldrep is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.495 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 4th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (5th percentile).

56 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 494 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Luis CurveloRangersLucas ErcegRoyalsValente BellozoRockiesMitch SpenceRoyals

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Hurston Waldrep mixes his sinker (39%) and splitter (19%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+4 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 25 bases vs a replacement arm's 30 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

3.0 bases saved vs league average, across 83 pitches — 3.6 per 100.

Sinker
39%
94.2 mph · RHP median 94.7
9% whiffs · Lg median 13%
saved 3.6 per 1003.0 total
Splitter
not charted
19%
84.1 mph · RHP median 86.9
—
—
Cutter
not charted
16%
91.3 mph · RHP median 90.2
—
—
Slider
not charted
14%
85.2 mph · RHP median 86.9
—
—
Curveball
not charted
12%
80.9 mph · RHP median 81.2
—
—

Only his sinker is in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Sinker
28% vs LHH · RHP median 16%
52% vs RHH · RHP median 34%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — 204 of them. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his sinker is in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051

vs LHB31 PA0.502

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.502 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.479 to 0.524, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.555 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHB rate (0.555) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHB25 PA0.460

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.460 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.437 to 0.483, based on 25 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.512 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.

0.4270.4540.4810.5080.534
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Hurston Waldrep landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Ryan O'HearnHome run
EV 100 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.6
07/07 vs Pirates
vs Ryan O'HearnHome run
EV 105 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.4
07/07 vs Pirates
vs Jordan WalkerHome run
EV 104 mph · LA 35° · EB 3.1
07/02 vs Cardinals
vs Brandon LoweSingle
EV 100 mph · LA 9° · EB 0.7
07/07 vs Pirates
vs Esmerlyn ValdezSingle
EV 92 mph · LA 2° · EB 0.7
07/07 vs Pirates

Luck check

Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Masyn WinnSingleCheap hit
EV 105 mph · LA -29° · EB 0.1 · xBA .076
07/02 vs Cardinals
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Times through order

What happens the third time they see him

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Hurston Waldrep

HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.