Kyle Harrison
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Harrison is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.408 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 94th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (92nd percentile).
402 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Kyle Harrison.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Kyle Harrison | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .502 | .528 | 94th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 85th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 28% | 22% | 92nd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kyle Harrison leans on his four-seam fastball (58% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slurve, saving 3.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 153 bases vs a replacement arm's 224 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
30.9 bases saved vs league average, across 1,661 pitches — 1.9 per 100.
Rarely used: sinker (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Kyle Harrison's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.374 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.355 to 0.393, based on 115 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.346 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.413 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.394 to 0.430, based on 289 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.401 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 11 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 14 more bases than their contact off Kyle Harrison earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 250 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.84 · WHIP 1.11 · BABIP against 0.295 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BravesJun 20, 2026
23 BF · 7 K, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 3.2
- Above replacement
- +9.6
- vs CubsMay 20, 2026
23 BF · 11 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.7
- Above replacement
- +8.1
- vs PiratesApr 26, 2026
19 BF · 12 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.8
- Above replacement
- +6.8
- vs PiratesAug 5, 2026
16 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.2
- Above replacement
- +6.7
- vs CardinalsMay 26, 2026
23 BF · 2 K, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.5
- Above replacement
- +6.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Kyle Harrison
xEB/PA down, HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.