Dax Fulton
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Fulton has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.459 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 41st percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (97th percentile). The soft spot is Command (3rd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
66 batters faced · data through 2026-09-02.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Dax Fulton mixes his four-seam fastball (33%) and curveball (22%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 3.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 26 bases vs a replacement arm's 34 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.5 bases saved vs league average, across 150 pitches — 2.3 per 100.
Only his four-seam fastball and curveball are in the charts below — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
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Mix by batter side
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Dax Fulton's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. Only his four-seam fastball and curveball are in these charts — the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.446 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.423 to 0.468, based on 22 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.358 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.358) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.484 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.463 to 0.507, based on 44 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.391 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.433 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.391) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AstrosJul 20, 2026
13 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.0
- Above replacement
- +2.7
- vs PhilliesJun 16, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs RangersJun 22, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs OriolesMay 6, 2026score only
16 BF · 3 K, 2 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs PhilliesJul 29, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 2 BB
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +1.0