Chris Roycroft
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Roycroft is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.506 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 1st percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (3rd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
125 batters faced · data through 2026-08-25.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Chris Roycroft.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Chris Roycroft | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .692 | .527 | 1st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 33rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 15th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Chris Roycroft leans on his sinker (52% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 3.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 76 bases vs a replacement arm's 64 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
13.8 bases cost vs league average, across 423 pitches — 3.3 per 100.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 17 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Chris Roycroft's pitch movement, 2026
His Four-Seam Fastball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 17 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.524 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.503 to 0.546, based on 58 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.498 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.487 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.464 to 0.508, based on 67 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.733 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.733) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Chris Roycroft.
over 91 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 8.39 · WHIP 1.99 · BABIP against 0.349 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MarinersJul 12, 2026
9 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +3.5
- vs RaysMar 29, 2026
8 BF · 0 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs TigersApr 3, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +0.9
- vs RaysMar 26, 2026
4 BF · 0 K, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.3
- Above replacement
- +0.7
- vs Blue JaysAug 20, 2026
9 BF · 1 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.0
- Above replacement
- +0.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Chris Roycroft
HR allowed% up, BB% down, Barrel% against up, GB% against up, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.