Alec Gamboa
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Gamboa is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.438 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 72nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (83rd percentile). The soft spot is Strikeouts (29th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
85 batters faced · data through 2026-08-30.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Alec Gamboa | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .369 | .528 | 72nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 60th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 29th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Alec Gamboa leans on his four-seam fastball (48% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 4.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.1 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 32 bases vs a replacement arm's 44 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.4 bases saved vs league average, across 240 pitches — 2.3 per 100.
His sinker isn't in the charts below — only 47 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: curveball, changeup (4%)
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Mix by batter side
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Alec Gamboa's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker isn't in these charts — only 47 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.036 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.026 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.415 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.392 to 0.437, based on 30 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.408 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.451 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.430 to 0.473, based on 55 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.297 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.434 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.297) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.037). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Alec Gamboa.
over 68 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.23 · WHIP 0.95 · BABIP against 0.224 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Blue JaysJul 25, 2026
17 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.9
- Above replacement
- +5.2
- vs PiratesAug 14, 2026
11 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +2.9
- vs RaysJul 17, 2026
11 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.2
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs D-backsAug 17, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs TigersMay 5, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5