Erik Sabrowski
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Sabrowski is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.436 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 72nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (99th percentile). The soft spot is Command (2nd percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
159 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Erik Sabrowski.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Erik Sabrowski | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .517 | .528 | 72nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 14% | 9% | 2nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 29% | 22% | 99th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Erik Sabrowski leans on his four-seam fastball (66% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 5.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 51% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 59 bases vs a replacement arm's 82 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
9.0 bases saved vs league average, across 649 pitches — 1.4 per 100.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Erik Sabrowski's pitch movement, 2026
His Curveball has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.379 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.357 to 0.399, based on 58 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.316 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.316) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.418 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.399 to 0.440, based on 101 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.440 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the opposite field off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Erik Sabrowski.
over 71 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 3.16 · WHIP 1.30 · BABIP against 0.279 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MarinersMar 26, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs DodgersMar 30, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs RoyalsApr 8, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs TwinsJul 22, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs GiantsAug 19, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Erik Sabrowski
HR allowed% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.