Ryan Fernandez

2026

Cardinals· RHP · throws R· 13.1 IP· 2.70 ERA· 1.35 WHIP· 59 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what

B67th percentile run prevention

RelieverPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

Fernandez sits right around league average

The simulator expects 0.432 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 67th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (92nd percentile). The soft spot is Command (6th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.

Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better.
Percentiles vs. 424 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.
59 batters faced · data through 2026-07-29.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Dax FultonMarlins

Chris MurphyWhite Sox

Trey YesavageBlue Jays

Orion KerkeringPhillies

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Ryan Fernandez leans on his slider (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 2.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

+5 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 25 bases vs a replacement arm's 30 over the same batters faced

Results

All pitches

saved 1.4 per 1002.8 saved across 203

Slider

45% −2 pts vs '25

87.3 mph · lg 86.9 +0.6 mph vs '25

45% whiffs · lg 32%

saved 0.5 per 1000.6 saved across 107

Four-Seam Fastball

41% +3 pts vs '25

94.5 mph · lg 95.1 −0.7 mph vs '25

16% whiffs · lg 18%

saved 2.2 per 1002.2 saved across 96

Changeup

12% +4 pts vs '25

86.9 mph · lg 87.2 −0.3 mph vs '25

—

Rarely used: cutter (2%)

Mix by batter side

How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Slider

38% vs LHH

58% vs RHH

Four-Seam Fastball

41% vs LHH

40% vs RHH

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Dot = shrunk true-talent estimate; bar = 50% probable range. Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
Faint diamond = his raw, unshrunk rate against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy estimate.
These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
Gray tick (marked “lg”) = league median vs that side; the faint gray band behind it spans the middle half of the league (25th–75th percentile).
Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

vs LHB37 PA0.397

vs RHB22 PA0.356

0.3230.3500.3780.4050.433

← better (fewer bases allowed)worse →

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.049

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Ryan Fernandez landed this season.
Dots are colored by estimated bases (EB) — pale slate (easy out) to dark teal (home-run territory).
Filled dots are hits; hollow rings are outs — a dark ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down.
Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two; use the ▶ links below to watch on Baseball Savant.

hit · out

EBlowhigh

vs Dane MyersOutRobbed

EV 103 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.2

05/23 vs Reds

vs Garrett MitchellHome run

EV 106 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.1

05/26 vs Brewers

vs Sal FrelickDouble

EV 97 mph · LA 21° · EB 2.1

07/06 vs Brewers

vs Steven KwanSingle

EV 85 mph · LA 16° · EB 1.0

04/13 vs Guardians

vs Heriberto HernándezSingle

EV 109 mph · LA 6° · EB 1.0

04/22 vs Marlins

Luck check

Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.

vs Dane MyersOutRobbed

EV 103 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.2

05/23 vs Reds

Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Javier SanojaSingleCheap hit

EV 63 mph · LA -40° · EB 0.1 · xBA .152

04/22 vs Marlins

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Date	Opponent	Result	Bases allowed	Above replacement
Apr 27, 2026	Pirates	6 BF · 4 K	0.3	+2.7
Jul 5, 2026	Cubs	4 BF · 2 K	0.1	+2.0
Apr 22, 2026	Marlins	6 BF · 2 K, 2 H	1.4	+1.7
Apr 13, 2026	Guardians	9 BF · 2 K, 4 H	3.6	+0.9
Jul 2, 2026	Braves	5 BF · 0 K, 1 H	1.7	+0.8