Victor Vodnik
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Vodnik is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.473 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 22nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (85th percentile). The soft spot is Command (12th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
197 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Victor Vodnik.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Victor Vodnik | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .465 | .528 | 22nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 12th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 18th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Victor Vodnik leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.4 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 88 bases vs a replacement arm's 101 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.4 bases saved vs league average, across 725 pitches — 0.3 per 100.
Rarely used: cutter, sinker (5%)
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Mix by batter side
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Victor Vodnik's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Changeup have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.487 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.468 to 0.508, based on 104 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.446 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.449 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.428 to 0.469, based on 94 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.477 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 8 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Victor Vodnik.
over 138 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.02 · WHIP 1.63 · BABIP against 0.319 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BrewersJul 24, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs DodgersApr 18, 2026
5 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs PhilliesMay 8, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs TwinsJun 27, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs PhilliesApr 5, 2026
5 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Victor Vodnik
HR allowed% down, K% down, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.