Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Madden is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.428 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 84th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (89th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
160 batters faced · data through 2026-09-04.
▸How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 485 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Ty Madden.
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski(26.7%)Hard-hit% against Blake Snell(30.5%)
▸How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: finishing hitters without free passes (strikeout rate minus walk rate) and keeping the contact they do allow soft (hard-hit rate against). Every dot is a qualified pitcher this season; dot size tracks batters faced. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
Ty Madden
League median
Percentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better)
.390
.527
84th
Walk rate(lower = better)
9%
9%
56th
Strikeout rate(higher = better)
23%
22%
56th
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
What he throws, and what it does
Ty Madden mixes his four-seam fastball (33%) and slider (23%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 4.8 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
▲ +27 bases better than a replacement arm this season
allowed 55 bases vs a replacement arm's 82 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
Bases vs average
All pitches
16.5 bases saved vs league average, across 640 pitches — 2.6 per 100.
Lg avg
Four-Seam Fastball
33%
93.3 mph · RHP median 95.2
18% whiffs · Lg median 21%
saved 4.0 per 1008.7 total
Slider
23%
83.8 mph · RHP median 86.9
31% whiffs · Lg median 33%
saved 4.8 per 1007.0 total
Cutter
19%
87.4 mph · RHP median 90.1
37% whiffs · Lg median 22%
saved 4.4 per 1005.3 total
Splitter
14%
85.3 mph · RHP median 86.8
24% whiffs · Lg median 34%
cost 4.2 per 1003.8 total
Sinker
10%
92.2 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
cost 1.1 per 1000.7 total
Rarely used: knuckle curve (1%)
▸How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
Mix by batter side
Four-Seam Fastball
40% vs LHH · RHP median 41%
26% vs RHH · RHP median 33%
Slider
22% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
24% vs RHH · RHP median 30%
Cutter
20% vs LHH · RHP median 19%
17% vs RHH · RHP median 19%
Splitter
16% vs LHH · RHP median 32%
12% vs RHH · RHP median 16%
▸How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — between 41 and 361 of them, depending on the pitch. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
Ty Madden's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
Pitch
Risein · vs Lg median
Breakin · vs Lg median
Vs. early season
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 15.8 in
+0.1 vs Lg median
Break 3.8 in
−3.9 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SliderSL
Rise −4.4 in
−6.2 vs Lg median
Break −0.4 in
+3.2 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
CutterFC
Rise 3.3 in
−4.2 vs Lg median
Break −1.7 in
+0.4 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SplitterFS
Rise 1.7 in
−0.9 vs Lg median
Break 11.0 in
−0.3 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
SinkerSI
Rise 11.2 in
+3.0 vs Lg median
Break 12.4 in
−2.8 vs Lg median
Vs. early season steady
Early season → nowLg medianCurrent-dot uncertainty
▸How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current shape — horizontal break (arm side vs. glove side) by induced vertical break (rise vs. drop). Both axes are in inches of break. The trail runs from this season's earliest tracked outings — the faint, thin end — up to today's solid dot; a trail with only a few segments just means fewer tracked outings. The soft halo around each dot is how far that dot could sit off on its own, just from ordinary outing-to-outing wobble. Don't read a long trail as proof on its own that a pitch changed. Every pitch in baseball loses a little break through midsummer and gets it back by September — the same shift two full seasons back agree on — and the trail shows that league-wide seasonal swing alongside whatever this pitcher did himself. The sentence at the top of this card has the league's share taken out, so it can read “has not moved” above a trail that looks long. That is the two marks measuring different things, not a mistake. A pitch counts as changed only once it sits at least two inches from its own early-season shape — a verdict about this pitcher against himself, never a comparison with anyone else. League median: the small hollow ring marks it, on the same two measurements. Where it sits far from a pitch's dot, a line joins the two — and on a wider screen the ring carries that pitch's code as well — so a distant ring is never orphaned; where it sits close, neither is drawn, because the pairing is already obvious. League median is missing entirely for a pitch marked *: too few pitchers throw it for one to be worth setting, so it is plotted without a reference ring. For the exact dates a pitch changed, see the by-appearance chart below.
By appearance
How the stuff has held up outing to outing
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
How he fares against lefties and righties
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB87 PA0.416
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.416 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.395 to 0.437, based on 87 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.329 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Lg median
Raw vs LHB rate (0.329) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB74 PA0.375
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.375 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.355 to 0.397, based on 74 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.370 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
Lg median
0.3430.3740.4040.4350.466
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
▸How to read this chart
Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
“Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
What hitters do when they connect
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Where every ball hit off Ty Madden landed this season.
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Ty Madden earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
Earned off his contact allowed41
Actually credited to batters47
over 105 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
▸How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.
ERA 3.46 · WHIP 1.08 · BABIP against 0.247 (Lg median 0.288)
Best games
His biggest outings this year
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.