MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Red Sox @ Tigers, 05/04/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 4, 2026
Red Sox
5
Final
Game 824283
Tigers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Red Sox
54%
· tied 17%
·
Tigers
29%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Tigers 5–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.