Ben Brown
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Brown is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.413 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 92nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (97th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (11th percentile).
265 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Ben Brown.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Ben Brown | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .425 | .528 | 92nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 71st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 22% | 77th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Ben Brown mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and knuckle curve (37%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 96 bases vs a replacement arm's 147 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
23.8 bases saved vs league average, across 1,004 pitches — 2.4 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 24 points more toward lefties.
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Ben Brown's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.419 to 0.457, based on 143 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.374 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.400 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.380 to 0.419, based on 122 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.350 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.350) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 4 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 15 fewer bases than their contact off Ben Brown earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 177 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.85 · WHIP 0.94 · BABIP against 0.246 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs CardinalsMay 30, 2026
23 BF · 6 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.6
- Above replacement
- +6.2
- vs BravesMay 14, 2026
15 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 3.6
- Above replacement
- +4.8
- vs RangersMay 8, 2026
13 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 2.2
- Above replacement
- +4.5
- vs GiantsJun 6, 2026
19 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 1 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 6.8
- Above replacement
- +3.8
- vs BrewersMay 19, 2026
25 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 7 H
- Bases allowed
- 10.3
- Above replacement
- +3.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Ben Brown
HR allowed% down, Barrel% against down, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.