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Cubs at Cardinals · May 30, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Cubs 94% · tied 3% · Cardinals 3%
Cubs earned it
Cubs deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 6-1.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.